| POINTS DIFFERENCE | EXPECTED WIN | UNEXPECTED WIN | EXPECTED LOSS | UNEXPECTED LOSS |
| 0 - 24 | + 14 | + 14 | - 4 | - 4 |
| 25 - 49 | + 12 | + 16 | - 3 | - 6 |
| 50 - 99 | + 10 | + 20 | - 3 | - 8 |
| 100 - 149 | + 8 | + 26 | - 2 | - 10 |
| 150 - 199 | + 6 | + 34 | - 2 | - 13 |
| 200 - 299 | + 4 | + 44 | - 1 | - 17 |
| 300 - 399 | + 3 | + 56 | - 1 | - 22 |
| 400 - 499 | + 2 | + 70 | 0 | - 28 |
| 500 + | + 1 | + 90 | 0 | - 39 |